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 |  | Jean Bozman, IDC |  |  | Nathan Brookwood, Insight64 |  |  | Gaurav Dua, Industry Analyst- Technology Practice, Frost & Sullivan, India |  |  | Matthew Eastwood, Research Director, Global Enterprise Server Solution, IDC |  |  | John Enck, Vice President, Gartner |  |  | Mike Feibus, TechKnowledge Strategies |  |  | Gordon Haff, Senior Analyst/IT Advisor, Illuminata |  |  | Carl Howe, Principal, Blackfriars Communication, Inc. |  |  | Peter Kastner, Executive Vice President, Aberdeen Group |  |  | Roger Kay, IDC |  |  | Kevin Krewell, MDR |  |  | David Larsson, IT Research, Sweden |  |  | Kathleen Maher, Vice President, Jon Peddie Research |  |  | Dean McCarron, Mercury Research |  |  | Mark Melenovsky, Director, Server Market Research, IDC |  |  | Brian Richardson, META Group | 
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Studio 64 Nathan Brookwood Principal, Insight64
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Quote #1
"Today the 64-bit market is dominated by high-end
proprietary systems. This will change dramatically over the remainder of the
decade. Industry-standard 64-bit architectures will move down to the low-end
of the market and up into the mid-range and high-end segments as well. The people
who understand this, and who adapt their applications for these industry standard
64-bit boxes, will win big-time when these systems become available. The folks
who ignore this trend and continue to focus their efforts on proprietary platforms
will soon be in trouble, if they’re not there already."
Note: To view/listen to these files you will need the Real
Media Player. Click
here to download.
Video - View
"64-bit computing is becoming a standard in different industry segments
at different times. For example, today in high-end systems, 64-bit computing
is the standard, although there are lots of different architectural approaches
to doing that. Sun has a proprietary limitation in their SPARC processors. Compaq
had one with Alpha. IBM with Power, and so forth. Today, at the high end of
the server space, 64-bit computing is already here because most of those boxes
go out with 8, 16, even in some cases, 100 gigabytes of physical memory. Low-end
servers today are going out with 512 megabytes, maybe 1 gigabyte, but if you
look at the trend, it will be 2 gigabytes, and 4 gigabytes, and 8 gigabytes,
over the next two or three years. So if we don't have 64-bit architectural solutions
even in the low end by 2005, it's going to really put a crimp in what people
can do with entry-level servers.."
Audio - Listen
"As a matter of fact, if you look at where we are in terms of all these
different segments of the market, and you make some typical projections about
people spending more or less constant amounts of money in a system for memory
and then you look at the way memory prices have come down. You can see that
today, midrange supercomputer mainframes, they're all above 4 gigabyte boundary
in terms of typical system configuration, and that is when people are going
to go "Why did I buy a 32-bit processor that can't address all the memory
I just paid for?" So, that is when the pressure comes for 64-bits."
Quote #2
"All I know is that people keep using lots of memory, and every time memory
gets cheaper, they use more of it. And so, as the memory prices come down, people
put more in systems. Once they put it there, they want to be able to address
it and use it. And that is where the 64-bit equation comes in."
Quote #3
"It took ten years to fully recognize the benefits
of the move from 16-bit computing to 32-bit computing, with the introduction
of Windows 95," said Nathan Brookwood, principal analyst for research firm
Insight 64. This migration to 64 bits probably won't take as long, since the
chips will be offered at competitive prices, but it does take some time for
operating system and application vendors to catch up with the benefits offered
by new hardware technology,” he said.
http://pcworld.shopping.yahoo.com/yahoo/article/0,aid,107058,00.asp
Quote #4
"Now we're approaching a point where people need
more than 4 GB of memory, and they can't get it. Those 32-bit processors are
running out of gas," said Nathan Brookwood, principal analyst with Insight
64 and moderator of the panel. "Today, the four-gigabyte limit is starting
to pose some problems. Those problems are with large databases and digital media.
For example, a digital camcorder can easily generate more than 4 GB of data,
which couldn't all be loaded into memory for editing on a 32-bit processor.
People feeling the 32-bit limit now are in the heavy engineering/computer aided
design segment, where it's easy for designs to go way over the 4-GB limit,”
Brookwood said.
http://www.wired.com/news/technology/0,1282,53998,00.html
AMD Developer Symposium
Read Nathan Brookwood's entire Keynote Address at AMD's Developer Symposium,
download
the pdf.
Nathan Brookwood
Keynote
Address (.pdf document)
AMD Developer Symposium
September 24, 2002
Sunnyvale, CA
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