 |
|
 |

|
|  |
 |
|
 |
 |
 |  | Jean Bozman, IDC |  |  | Nathan Brookwood, Insight64 |  |  | Gaurav Dua, Industry Analyst- Technology Practice, Frost & Sullivan, India |  |  | Matthew Eastwood, Research Director, Global Enterprise Server Solution, IDC |  |  | John Enck, Vice President, Gartner |  |  | Mike Feibus, TechKnowledge Strategies |  |  | Gordon Haff, Senior Analyst/IT Advisor, Illuminata |  |  | Carl Howe, Principal, Blackfriars Communication, Inc. |  |  | Peter Kastner, Executive Vice President, Aberdeen Group |  |  | Roger Kay, IDC |  |  | Kevin Krewell, MDR |  |  | David Larsson, IT Research, Sweden |  |  | Kathleen Maher, Vice President, Jon Peddie Research |  |  | Dean McCarron, Mercury Research |  |  | Mark Melenovsky, Director, Server Market Research, IDC |  |  | Brian Richardson, META Group | 
|
 |
 |
 |
|
Studio 64 Industry Analyst Visionaries
 |
Jean
Bozman Research VP, IDC
“Let me make clear that 64-bit computing has been around for quite
some time now, and in fact the whole UNIX RISC area already is 64-bit
capable. We see it being used particularly for handling large, scalable
databases, data mining, data warehousing, high-performance computing,
using large datasets associated with scientific computing, visualization.
One of the new areas that we see adoption in, is this bio IT area, life
sciences, a lot of adoption there, again, mostly in the UNIX space. What
we were talking about today is, is there the potentiality that that would
get broader, in other words, broaden out to a space where other types
of servers would become involved. And clearly we think that will happen
over time. It won’t happen overnight, but we think that certainly
everybody has their sights on 64-bit computing, and that in fact there
might be some new types of applications that would get into the 64-bit
space, mostly having to do with handling large chunks of data. And some
of them might be, for example, multimedia, video, music, handling all
those, and the new and emerging area of web services, in which people
are using maybe a PDA or something and looking at that, but are receiving
very complex information over the Internet. Now a number of things have
to come together as that happens. More bandwidth. More use of PDAs. Some
sophistication at the back end, and that’s where we’re going
to see more 64-bit computing, to support those services.” |
| |
|
| |
|
| |
|
 |
Nathan
Brookwood
Principal, Insight64
"Today the 64-bit market is dominated by high-end proprietary systems.
This will change dramatically over the remainder of the decade. Industry-standard
64-bit architectures will move down to the low-end of the market and up
into the mid-range and high-end segments as well. The people who understand
this, and who adapt their applications for these industry standard 64-bit
boxes, will win big-time when these systems become available. The folks
who ignore this trend and continue to focus their efforts on proprietary
platforms will soon be in trouble, if they’re not there already."
more... |
| |
|
| |
|
| |
|
 |
Gaurav
Dua
Industry Analyst- Technology Practice, Frost & Sullivan,
India
"In the next two to three years, one will witness a large set of
enterprises going in for 64-bit systems as it offers superior performance
in terms of scalability, power and reliability. A 64-bit machine can significantly
increase the performance as it can address more memory directly without
using complex indexing or register-addressing schemes. Moreover, a 64-bit
system is likely to gain lot of acceptance in applications that require
large data stores. This would include applications such as CAD/CAM, OLAP,
financial modeling, et al." |
| |
|
| |
|
| |
|
 |
Matthew
Eastwood Research Director, Global Enterprise Server Solution, IDC
“IDC's workloads research has consistently shown that many customers continue to deploy database solutions in 32-bit computing environments. Oracle's support of the AMD Opteron processor will allow customers to gain additional headroom for these databases without moving off platform. This approach offers tremendous advantages for many customers faced with expensive database conversions.” |
| |
|
| |
|
| |
|
 |
Jonh
Enck
Vice President, Gartner
"64-bit systems have been around for a while. I think the transition
for pervasive 64-bit computing is going to take some time. I think the
server side of the market is well familiar with this technology, well
familiar with the promises that 64-bit brings to the market. I think the
trick is on a desktop, in that segment of the market, this is going to
be a big change for them. These are going to be systems that are vastly
more powerful than they are used to. So there will be some new applications,
new capabilities. So it will certainly spur some new usage models."
more...
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
|
 |
Mike
Feibus
Principal Analyst, TechKnowledge Strategies, Inc.
"I believe that 64-bit technology will bring new and
exciting opportunities to the mainstream market. Once you give millions
of mainstream users the power to address such large datasets, then the applications
are sure to follow." |
| |
|
| |
|
| |
|
 |
Gordon
Haff
Senior Analyst/IT Advisor, Illuminata
“Financial services is certainly one market that is likely to adopt
[64-bit technology] fairly quickly. Financial services, in the last
few years, have been the commercial users among the most open to new technologies.
IT is the core of their business and the ability to crunch data and to glean
information from that data is really core to their business.” more...
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
|
|
Carl
D. Howe
Principal, Blackfriars Communications, Inc.
"Sixty four-bit computing brings something new to a stagnant PC market:
simplicity. How will it do this? By:
1) Simplifying the use of large memories. Today’s
32-bit PC programs typically can’t use more than 2 gigabytes of
main memory, yet someone editing raw digital photographs in Photoshop
can easily consume all that and more. And applications like video editing
of a two-hour digital video movie need a minimum of 26 gigabytes just
to store the movie. Memories of 32 gigabytes and more would make these
programs run faster and easier to debug -- and yet cost only about $3,000
at today’s prices.
2) Simplifying programming. Today, PC programmers
must jump through hoops to perform seemingly simple operations like creating
a report for a database or writing a DVD-R disk. Why? Because they spend
most of their time figuring out how to shuttle information on and off
slow disks, the only PC storage big enough to store databases or DVD images.
64-bit processors allow programmers to write these pieces of software
as simple queries and copies -- and make them faster and more reliable
to boot.
3) Simplifying innovation. Just as it’s easier
to build a highway through an unpopulated countryside than through a city,
64-bit computing poses fewer obstacles to creating the next killer application.
Prior to 32-bit processors, Microsoft® and Windows® never had
the type of market power they do today. 64-bit computing will similarly
propel other small companies to stardom as they make things considered
impossible today possible.”
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
|
 |
Peter
Kastner Executive Vice President, Aberdeen Group
“The first 32-bit consumer desktops appeared in 1985 when the software world was mired in the world of 16-bit DOS operating systems and applications. Except for the few hardy souls who used 32-bit Xenix (and later Unix variants Unix) applications, the rest of us waited until Windows XP was launched in October 2000 to end the legacy ties to 16-bit software. That’s a long time — fifteen years before the software caught up with the hardware. That won’t happen again to the computer industry. Aberdeen Group expects 64-bit operating support for consumer desktops to arrive over the next year. Early adopters will enjoy some exciting experiences.
Hard as it is to imagine, the majority of the consumer market for 64-bit computing will arrive at the end of the decade. The key reason is memory.
Today’s mainstream 32-bit desktops barely run in 128 MB of RAM, perform adequately at 256 MB, and can run virtually all applications with 512 MB of memory. With declining memory prices, more operating system features, the proliferation of web services, more powerful processors, we see typical memory configurations doubling every three years for the rest of the decade. With processor speeds at 10 GHz and above, the penalty for a disk access will be enormous; so much more data will be cached in memory. The tipping point is in the 2-4 GB area, when traditional 32-bit addressing runs out of bits. We expect mainstream desktops to need full 64-bit addressability of RAM by 2010. Many users will want their virtual memory disk space to exceed 4 GB before 2010. So start planning for your own cinema-realistic 3D user environment now.” |
| |
|
| |
|
| |
|
|
Roger Kay
Director of Client Computing, IDC "Aside
from the fact that you can address more mathematical space with 64-bit
systems,
they also give you greater performance. With 64-bit systems, things like
weather forecasting are possible. For consumers, gamers
enjoy increased performance on 3D applications. In the commercial space,
they gain faster execution of existing programs."
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
|
|
Kevin
Krewell General manager, MDR, Senior Editor, Microprocessor
Report “The 64-bit processor question is not if, but
when? The 32-bit x86 architecture we have today is the based on the 80386
processor introduced in 1985. After 18 years, it’s time to evolve
to the next era in client computing—64-bit processing. We can begin
to conjecture how programmers will use this new freedom, as 64-bit processing
facilitates processing of large databases, bigger CAD models, faster data
encryption for Internet security, larger media files, expanded rules for
speech recognition algorithms (allowing greater accuracy), and additional
caching of data and programs for snappier performance.” -- Kevin Krewell,
general manager, MDR, senior editor, Microprocessor Report |
| |
|
| |
|
| |
|
 |
David
Larsson Market Analyst, IT Research, Sweden
"64-bitars marknaden tar nu fart på allvar. De kommande AMD
processorbaserade produkterna har goda möjligheter att ta andelar
med ett bra pris/prestanda", säger David Larsson, marknadsanalytiker,
IT Research.
“The 64-bit market is really taking off now seriously. The upcoming
AMD processor-based products have a good possibility to take market shares
with a good price/performance ratio”, says David Larsson, market
analyst, IT Research. |
| |
|
| |
|
| |
|
|
Kathleen
Maher Vice President, Jon Peddie Research
"64-bit computing, it's the future. AMD has taken the initiative
to push 64-bit into the mainstream and has reset the clock for the transition... AMD has excelled in creating a demand for the near(er) future."
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
|
 |
Dean
McCarron
Founder and Principal, Mercury Research
"The barriers that 64-bit computing can overcome relate to things
such as memory addressing. The current 32-bit architectures are limited
to 4 gigabytes. 64-bit architectures essentially eliminate any barriers
to memory addressing for the foreseeable future." more...
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
|
 |
Brian
Richardson
Program Director, META Group
"I think we've had 64-bit computing in niche markets for more than
ten years. What I see coming is more of a mass market potential to begin
accelerating a transition to 64-bit enabled applications, to really take
advantage of things like very large memory spaces, very sophisticated
modeling and simulation in technical computing environments, and extremely
high performance in database and data warehousing capabilities not only
for government and research capabilities and very high-end corporate environments,
but really more 64-bit computing that is more mainstream." |
| |
|
| |
|
| |
|
| |
Mark
Melenovsky
Director, Server Market Research, IDC
“I think it’s more than performance. Like I just mentioned,
it's the way that IT and data is becoming so pervasive throughout the
industry that it's going to require 64-bit computing just to be able to
integrate your businesses, your databases, and your supply chain management,
and all of these different functionalities. So it's a requirement.”
more...
|
|
|
|
 |
|